Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF
Saturday, May 7th 2011, 21.00 CET
Real Madrid CF are currently in awful shape this football season. They lost the place in the Champions League final because of Barcelona, they are lagging behind in La Liga and their coach, apart from ruining his home clean-sheet record, is banned from 5 European games! On the brighter side though, if we look at the four El Classico’s played, Real Madrid and Barcelona both won one time and drew the next. Though overall, I think Barcelona got the best out of the four.
Real Madrid CF, placed second in La Liga with 83 points, has one chance left for winning this year. Barcelona is leading the championship with 91 points, 8 points more than Real Madrid. With 4 more games to go, it’s matematically possible for Real to take the lead. That is, if they win all 4 matches left, and Barcelona loses three (which sounds very unlikely). However, there’s no chance they’ll finish lower than 2nd, since behind them is Valencia with 66 points. But apart from this large cushon that Real Madrid is leaning on, there’s not much else to comfort them.
Recently there has been serious pressure from fans to reconsider Mourinho’s position with the club. Remember, Real Madrid sacked other famous coaches for smaller mistakes (we all remember Del Bosque). Faith in Mourinho is certainly not as high as before. Real Madrid did issue an appeal against the UEFA decision, but Mourinho fell from many of his fans’ grace already. There are others on the world wide web who question Mourinho ‘s chances of getting hired by another club! After concluding that no other high-profile club will hire him, ForzaFutbol writes “his only option as I see it, is to stay at The Bernabeu and try to rebuild his reputation, and repair relations with the Madrid hierarchy“.
As for their match tomorrow, Mourinho will not be able to count on Khedira and Fernando Gago. I haven’t seen much of Benzema either in the last game against Barcelona, so I’m doubting whether Mourinho will use him in Real Madrid’s squad tomorrow. On the other hand, both Pepe and Sergio Ramos will return to the starting squad now that their bans have passed.
Sevilla FC, on the other hand, has a real chance at qualifying for the European competitions next year. Sevilla FC is currently on the 7th place with 52 points, just behind Atletico Madrid (52 points), who holds the last available qualifying place for Europa League. There’s no chance Sevilla will ever surpass Atletico just by the goal difference: on aggregate, Sevilla is one goal behind, whereas Atletico is 8 goals ahead. This tells me and any other sports bettor that Sevilla will go for the victory here.
Regarding their form, Sevilla FC come after two consecutive wins, one home against Villareal and one away against Almeria. They’ll definitely try to make the best out of that form and get the upper hand in their home game tomorrow. However, squad-wise, Sevilla FC are not doing so well. They lost Ivan Rakitic and Martin Caceres this week, and the club won’t be able to use them again this season. Nevertheless, Negredo is in good shape, although Jesus Navas probably won’t be available to support him. Maybe we’ll see some youngster replacing him.
Here are some interesting statistics from Goal.com:
- Out of 7 home matches this half-season, Sevilla won 5 and drew 2.
- At home against Real Madrid, Sevilla has a record of 2.6 goals scored per game.
- 16 out of their las 20 goals against Real Madrid were scored in the first half.
- On Sevilla’s stadium, in the last 7 matches Real Madrid played there, they lost 5 times and only won once.
These are certainly good-to-know statistics, but don’t only look at those when making your prediction. That’s my first sports tip. Now, looking at the overall football prediction above, it is fair to say that Sevilla will fight hard for a victory. Indeed, football is unpredictable, but at least you can always make an educated guess. My football prediction is that the game will see more than 4 goals, and I’m backing that with a bet at Bwin. If my soccer tip ends up successfully, I’ll win 4.33 times more than I bet! I wouldn’t be sure on who will actually win, but I think it’s also safe to assume both teams to score at 1.44 on bwin.
Both to score for 4 units and O4.5 for 2 units