Apart from the games described in this thread, which will take place today, I’m betting on 2 others for tomorrow. They’re also part of the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells, and one of them is a double 🙂 However, due to the large time difference between the US and Europe, these matches will take place at 1.30 AM Central Europe Time. I won’t be watching thus, but that doesn’t stop me from betting 😀
Ryan Sweeting vs. Juan Monaco
For the Head-to-Head analysis for this game, please click here. As you can see, Monaco (30) is a lot higher ranked than Sweeting (105). And pretty much all statistics favour Monaco. However, Sweeting is 3 years younger than the Argentinian, and he’s playing on home soil. This could be decisive in this game, and in tennis, maybe more than in football, everything is possible.
Sweeting has been constantly growing since turning professional in 2007. He’s constatly improved his ranking, ending on 116th in 2010. Now he’s on 105, so he caught up some more ground since the start of the year. He’s fast, familiar with hard ground play and he plays at home.
Juan Monaco, on the other hand, has had some up and downs rankings-wise in the past few years: he peaked in 2008 when he was impressively ranked 14th, but ended the year on the 47th position, while a year before he was 23rd. Nevertheless, since 2008 he slowly improved: ranked 30th in 2009 and 26th last year. The fact that now he’s 4 places worse than last year does not make a huge difference in the table, but it does count morale-wise. He has enough experience though, so the morale shouldn’t be too much of a bother.
My play? I chose to go with Juan Monaco for 2 units at 1.85 odds on Bwin. I would’ve gone for Sweeting to win at least one set, but the bet was not available on Bwin, unfortunately. If you find it though, I’d suggest you stake on it.
Monaco to win for 2 units
Bellucci/Harrison vs. Cilic/Karlovic
Thomasz Bellucci and Ryan Harrison have played many times before together. They’re not really at the same level, though: the Brazilian is more experienced and higher ranked. Bellucci is ranked 29th and he’s only 23 years old! A promissing player whose rankings slowly increased from 578 in 2006 to 31 at the end of last year. Ryan Harrison, on the other hand is much younger at 18 years old, and much lower in the rankings as well. Currently he’s on the 152nd place in the singles ranking, but he increased a lot in recent years: he was ranked 742nd in 2007!
Although they’re both very young and promissing, experience will certainly have its say today. And the other team is much more experienced. They will be fighting hard, and maybe their stamina and fast serves will bring them victory, but they wouldn’t be able to handle too much pressure towards the end, especially if the last set is the decisive one.
Turning now to the opposite team, we have two experienced Croatian players. Marin Cilic is one of the best (if not THE) Croatian player, currently ranked 20th. He’s only 22 years old but he turned pro in 2005, the same year Thomasz Bellucci did. A very promissing youngster for the Croatian team. He was spectacular last year, so far as reaching the 9th position in February. Overall, he’s been rather constant rankings-wise, ending 2009 and 2010 on the 14th place.
Ivo Karlovic, on the other hand, is a player whose years of glory are already past him. He was fantastic in 2007 and 2008, and was even ranked 14th in August 2008. However, since that time he’s been constantly decreasing both in rankings and in importance. The Croats started to look at Cilic as their best player now, and Karlovic has slowly faded away. Much like it happened with the Romanians Pavel and Hanescu. At 32 years however, he’s seen a lot and he plays very well along with his Croatian partner.
In this match, I would say the Croatian team is more homogeneous, and with a very experienced Karlovic, they have what it takes to endure both pressure and duration. I would stake 2 units on this team, I found odds of 1.9 on Bwin and I’m going to take that.
Cilic/Karlovic to win for 2 units