Result: -5 units, bet lost
Result: -5 units, bet lost
Eredivise get their De Klassieker this weekend as Ajax Amsterdam host Feyenoord Rotterdam at Amsterdam Arena. The hosts are on the second place while the visitors on the third and whereas Ajax trails behind PSV by four points, Feyenoord are behind Ajax by eight. History wise this match has resulted in not only entertaining football, but also clashes with the supporters, sometimes rather violent that prompted an agreement between the two cities to ban visiting fans from the stadium for five years.
Ajax exited the KNVB Beker against Vitesse back in December which allowed them to fully concentrate on Eredivisie where they have an unbeaten run of 14 matches. Ever since October they score at least two goals in their home matches and end up winning them. Boilesen should be available for selection and the left side of the back line, while Fisher and Veltman are still on the sidelines. Ajax look more solid this year with only two defeats in the first half of the season. Schone, Milik and Klaassen make up Ajax’s frontline and together they make 19 goals from Ajax’s total this season in Eredivisie, where the visitors have won with at least a 2 goals difference in their last games at Amsterdam Arena.
Feyenoord’s presence in Eredivisie this season is made off creating many goalscoring chances, converting them, but also conceding almost in every match. Prior to losing against PSV with 4-3, Feyenoord had a very good record in away games going for 13 matches unbeaten. Their latest win came against Twente where Boetius, Immers and Toornstra scored and considering they are unable to win against Ajax since 2012, Feyenoord’s players might get an extra motivation for Sunday’s super clash of the titans. Elvis Manu will miss this match, but apart from his absence the visitors should have the entire squad at their disposal.
Last time the two teams met at Amsterdam Arena for an Eredivisie match Ajax won with 2-1 and another result like that has 8.50 odds, which is one of the most popular markets. An Ajax win has 2.10 odds; Feyenoord has 3.20 odds and a draw 3.30. Milik has 2.30 odds to score, Schone 2.45, Klaassen 2.90 and for Feyenoord Kazim-Richards has 2.62 odds to score, while Achanbar, Basacikoglu, Boetius, Toornstra, Immers and Dammers all have 3.40 as anytime goalscorers. Over 3.5 goals has 3.00 odds, Ajax with a +1 handicap 1.30, Feyenoord with the same handicap has 1.61, and we’re betting five units on both teams to score and Ajax to win with 4.00 odds from William Hill.
Ajax Amsterdam: Team’s Formation
Feyenoord Rotterdam: Team’s Formation
End prediction for the match:
Both teams to score and Ajax to win
Ajax Amsterdam 3 – 1 FC Twente
Sunday, March 15th 2011, 14.30 CET
What a game this was! And what a party afterwards 😀 Ajax deservingly won this game, and the championship (after not winning it since 2004, it was about time) as a whole. It’s been a fantastic run for Ajax this half season, ever since Frank de Boer took over. The club legend managed to turn around a wrecked, mid-season team into the rightful title holders. And he did this in style.
The game has been very enjoying, with lots of tension (much more for Twente fans) and superb goals. Many were afraid that, due to the stakes of this game, both in terms of prestige and prizes, the teams would be afraid to lose, thus they would maximize defense and leave goal opportunities to counter attacks. But there was no such thing: Twente started very confidently, and Bryan Ruiz was about to trick Ajax’s Vermeer in the very first minute of the game, but the Amsterdammers’ goalkeeper made a diving save.
Shortly afterwards, Ajax took control of the game, with precise passing in midfield and attacks on the flanks. Their first occasion came in the 19th minute, with Christian Eriksen sending the ball over the bar from Twente’s area. The continuous pressure from the Ajax forwards paid off 3 minutes later, when Siem de Jong received a cross from van der Wiel on the right and volleyed past Nikolay Mihaylov, making the crowd in Amsterdam Arena go wild. Twente then went more aggressive into Ajax’s side of the pitch, but they had no real occasions until half time.
The second half started in full gear, with two goals scored in the first 3 minutes! The first one came for Ajax: van der Wiel produced another great cross from the right, but Twente’s (and former Ajax’s) Denny Landzaat miscalculated and sent the ball past the goalkeeper with a diving header. It was a painful moment for Twente’s supporters, who now saw their team being lead 2-0 in their crucial game for the League title. Their hopes were lifted by Theo Janssen, easily Twente’s hero this season. Jansen’s goal came one minute after Landzaat’s own goal, and it came in style: from inside Ajax’s penalty area, Janssen curled the ball beautifully past Vermeer, finally giving his team’s supporters something to cheer for.
Twente’s hopes were to be shattered by the same Siem de Jong in the 78th minute. Ajax’s midfielder took advantage of a wonderful ball from Christian Eriksen which went through Twente’s defense, and then sent the ball past Mihaylov, who stood no chance. That was the moment when Ajax fans realized they could start celebrating, and for the next 10 minutes of the game the crowd was singing and preparing the aftermatch celebrations.
I was very please to see Ajax win the Eredivisie, and of course to see my sports bets being correct 🙂 In total, the two soccer bets I made on this game brought me 6.76 units. If you recall from this post, my football prediction was for Ajax to win, and for the game to have more than 2.5 goals. Both football tips proved to be right 🙂 And this marks the end of this edition of Eredivisie. Lots to hope for in the next one, with both Ajax and Twente competing for the league title AND for the Champions League!
Ajax Amsterdam vs. FC Twente
Sunday, March 15th 2011, 14.30 CET
The Eredivisie ends in style this year, the same as the last, with the fight for the title between Ajax Amsterdam and FC Twente. Ajax is by far the most well-known Dutch football club, and most sports tips or football predictions consider only the club’s history before giving a betting tip. It is true that they are one of the best clubs in Netherlands. Actually, Ajax are going for their 30th league title this year. Nevertheless, they haven’t had one since 2003/04.
Twente, on the other hand, won their first league title last year after a fantastic run. They’re still doing very well this season: they just won the KNVB Beker (Dutch cup) from Ajax after a spectacular game. HERE is a good article about that. Long story short, Ajax Amsterdam were leading the football game 2-0, but in the end Twente won 2-3 with a goal in the added-time. That certainly adds to the tension that already exists between the two clubs, dating from last year’s final Eredivisie game.
In Eredivisie, Twente Enschede is first with 31 points, followed by Ajax Amsterdam with 70 points, and then by PSV Eindhoven with 68. And PSV has a much easier game to play against Vitesse, 14th in Eredivisie. This means that each of these teams desperately want to win this last match. If Twente wins against Ajax, the Amsterdammers might finish third, behind Twente and PSV. And with it, they lose their Champions League qualification and will only have to settle for an Europa League chance.
With Twente losing the game and PSV winning, Twente ends up third, with Ajax and PSV first. That’s because although both PSV and Twente will have the same number of points (71), PSV’s goal difference is clearly superior (+45 vs +33). It’s a very tight battle that will take centre stage on Amsterdam Arena in front of tens of thousands of fans (tickets were sold out a week ago).
Ajax Amsterdam come after a good run, winning 6 and losing 3 in their last 9 games. However, they had a bad European campaign, being eliminated from Champions League in the group stages (I admit, their group was really tough), and from Europa League by Spartak Moskva before the quarter finals. Kind of embarrasing actually, because that left their two rivals, PSV and Twente go in the quarter finals (where they both lost).
I think Ajax’s fantastic morale and motivation, and the fact that they’re playing at home will be decisive ahead of today’s game. They were in terrible shape when Martin Jol left them, being replaced by Frank De Boer in December last year. Ever since, Ajax have made a fantastic comeback in the league, and they deserve to win today to put a crown on that. And the football odds are in their favour, both at the bookies, and statistically. They have lost only 2 games out of 16 on Amsterdam Arena this season, and they’re the favourites of many bookies, with sports betting odds of 1.88 on Bwin.
FC Twente Enschede, on the other hand, has other reasons to win. They won their first league title last season, and now with a new coach Michel Preud’homme, they already have something to be proud of: lifting the KNVB Beker Cup from their fabulos comeback against Ajax last weekend, and winning the Johan Cruijff shield. Basically, if they win the League Title as well, they won all the honors the Eredivisie can give to any club.
And many agree that they deserve this. They proved that last year’s title was not undeserved, and they know they are making history now for one of the newest clubs in Holland (established in 1965). They gained an amazing amount of fans following last season’s performance, fans which will accompany their favourite club in the capital for their most important game this season. They only lost 4 times this season (Ajax lost 5 times), and conceded only 31 goals (Ajax 29). Plus, they won three out of the last five games against the Amsterdammers.
It’s definitely a very difficult game to give a football prediction or soccer tips on. If you need more resources, check this. I would say Ajax will win this one. They have the right motivation (losing to Twente in the Dutch Cup last weekend, and losing the title against them last season), and the crowd in Amsterdam will definitely play a crucial role. Ajax will miss El Hamdaoui this game, but except him Frank de Boer has the whole squad available, just like Preud’homme.
I’m predicting a hard-fought 2-1 win for Ajax. The odds are ok at 1.88, good enough for a 3 units bet. I am also betting on an o2.5 for 2 units at 1.70 on bwin. Honestly I don’t care that much of the outcome of the bet, TODAY I WILL ENJOY THE FOOTBALL!
Ajax to win for 3 units and Over 2.5 goals for 2 units
De Graafschap 1 – 0 ADO Den Haag
Sunday, March 13th 2011, 12.30 CET
I am really really surprised with this result. Not only have I lost 3 units for my sports bet on ADO Den Haag as justified in this post, but a team struggling against relegation defeated a team with a big chance of playing in European competitions this fall.
I was not at all worried when De Graafschap opened the score in the 10th minute through Rydell Poepon, because I knew ADO was famous for speedy comebacks and many goals. Plus, that was also visible from ADO’s chance in the third minute of the game Dmitry Bulykin, who fired past the post about 8 meters away from the target. Peter Jungschlager had another chance to increase the advantage quarter of an hour later after ADO’s defense was careless once again. I was starting to think I got the previous football tips totally wrong. In fact, I had done that. But at this point there was still a long way to go in the game.
Nothing else interesting happened in the first half. Come the second half, Bulykin once again threatened De Graafschap’s goalkeeper. His chance was really good, and it seemed he tricked the goalie, but Waterman cleared the shot with his foot! But just like in the first half, about quarter of an hour later, Graafschap looked eager to score. They were close to that through Yuri Rose from a corner action.
All in all, nothing else interesting happened until the end. Nothing that would advantage my soccer prediction anyway. ADO’s post was attacked several times by De Graafschap’s strikers, but they didn’t manage to increase their lead. In the end, De Graafschap won 1-0, and I lost 3 units on my stupid football tips.
De Graafschap vs. ADO Den Haag
Sunday, March 13th 2011, 12.30 CET
Another interesting game in Eredivisie today, and another opportunity for a bet 🙂 ADO Den Haag was really profitable for me last weekend when I won 4.65 units thanks to their victory over NEC Nijmegen. And I’m going to support them today too.
De Graafschap is a team from Doetinchem in the east of the Netherlands, currently ranked 14th in Eredivisie. They managed to stay clear of relegation following their victory last weekend with 2-1 against Willem II. However here I tend to agree with many sportsbettors that it wasn’t really a deserved victory. But this is football, and I’ll call that a victory.
The team is 10 points ahead of Excelsior, but they shouldn’t count on that since in their last game against Willem II they didn’t really play anything. An ugly match to watch. Nevertheless, they could count on some important statistics ahead of today’s game: their home record is really good: 5 wins, 6 draws and only 2 defeats this season. Plus, they did sneak a point from PSV Eindhoven. In the last 6 games at home they were unbeaten, it is true. But they haven’t faced opponents like ADO Den Haag, and they have a lot of players absent today: Saeijs, Buijs, Hersi, Fraenkel, Wormgoor and Jungschlaeger.
ADO Den Haag, on the other hand, has more things to be proud of: they come after a well-deserved win at home against NEC Nijmegen, score 5-1! (extra, extra, read all about it!), they’re currently ranked 5th in Eredivisie and this place takes them in the Europa League play-offs. They’re just one point behind AZ Alkmaar (4th), whose plays ensures the direct participation in the Europa League. And since they’ll face Ajax next weekend in The Hague, they really want to win today.
Statistics-wise, ADO Den Haag’s away results look like this: 5 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats. That doesn’t look like much, certainly not as impressive as De Graafschap’s home results, but unlike their opponents, ADO Den Haag has a full squad to choose from today! And let me tell you something: last weekend’s victory against NEC Nijmegen really brought the morale back in van den Brom’s squad, after the team previously drew against Feyenoord (surprisingly ranked 13th this season, so no excuses for drawing here) and lost to NAC Breda (11th in Eredivisie) the week before.
I’m confident on ADO Den Haag winning this game. They have the right motivation, the right morale and easy opponents. I’m staking 3 units on an away victory at 2.3 odds on Bet365.
ADO Den Haag to win for 3 units
ADO Den Haag 5 – 1 NEC Nijmegen
Saturday, March 5th 2011, 19.45 CET
A really enjoyable match! 3 of the 6 goals were scored in the first half, and what a half that was! I’m also glad my bet paid off. In the pre-game analysis here, I stated I would bet over 3.5 with 3 units: that brought me 4.65 units!
The game had a wild start: in the 16th minute, Lex Immers of ADO opens the score, only for NEC to get back in the game 2 minutes later with an equalizer by THE Björn Vleminckx, who took advantage of the fact that Christian Kum was out for the hosts and played around with ADO’s defense. The 1-1 score didn’t last until the 28th minute, when ADO Den Haag’s Dmitri Bulykin scored from a penalty due to the foul of Nathaniel Will (yellow carded).
The first half started incredibly well for the hosts: ADO managed to score in the 49th minute through a great action of Wesley Verhoek and 3 minutes after that, through Jens Toornstra. The team from Nijmegen never made it back into the game, and towards the end, frustration arose and so did tension: Niki Zimling from NEC was given a red card in the 87th minute, and ADO took advantage of their one extra man and scored again in the added time through Jordi Brouwer!
All in all it was a great game, and I am really glad I watched it (and won the bet, of course 🙂 ).